Lost Password?
  • Narrow screen resolution
  • Wide screen resolution
  • Auto width resolution
  • Increase font size
  • Decrease font size
  • Default font size
  • default color
  • red color
  • green color

The Greater San Antonio Chinese Chamber of Commerce The Greater San Antonio Chinese Chamber of Commerce

Friday
Jul 30th
Home arrow News arrow News Around arrow China arrow China Quashes Talk of a Surge in Yuan
China Quashes Talk of a Surge in Yuan PDF Print E-mail
Written by Administrator   
Thursday, 06 March 2008

BEIJING -- China's central-bank governor said a stronger currency isn't the best or only way to fight inflation, countering widespread expectations that the yuan's gains will accelerate as the nation's prices rise at their fastest pace in more than a decade.

"Faster currency appreciation helps to rein in inflation, but not a lot," Zhou Xiaochuan, governor of the People's Bank of China, told reporters on Thursday. "To curb inflation, we will rely more on domestic policies....There is no need to use exchange-rate reforms as a way to fight inflation."

Mr. Zhou's statements were unusual because the central bank is widely seen as an advocate of a stronger currency, a policy that is disliked by exporters and often has been opposed by other parts of the Chinese bureaucracy. Indeed, in its October monetary policy report, the People's Bank of China wrote that "Theoretical economic analysis and the experience of many countries both show that an appreciation of the currency helps contain domestic inflation."

China has pushed up the yuan at a faster rate against the dollar since inflation first surged above 3% in March last year. The Chinese currency rose 4.2% against the dollar in the second half of last year alone, and is up a further 2.6% this year. (Because the dollar is falling against other currencies, the yuan is down 1.9% against the euro this year.)

But consumer-price inflation has also accelerated, because of rising global prices for crops and domestic shortages of products such as pork. It touched 7.1% in January, the highest since 1996.

The government wants to contain inflation at 4.8% or less for the full year, though Premier Wen Jiabao warned in a speech Wednesday that "upward pressure on prices will remain great this year." Other measures the government has adopted include temporary price controls on food, increased farm subsidies and a freeze on prices of fuels and public services.

A typical argument for using a stronger currency as an inflation-fighting tool is that it makes imports less expensive. But some analysts have questioned whether a stronger currency would do much to calm China's food prices, the main driver of inflation recently. Although China is a big importer of a few agricultural products, such as soybeans, it has been a net exporter of food for many years.

Yet most outside analysts believe that a stronger currency still is the most likely way for China to address inflation. That is especially true since central-bank officials have signaled that while more interest-rate increases are not out of the question, their ability to raise rates is constrained by falling interest rates in the U.S. Their worry is that higher interest rates would tempt investors unhappy with low U.S. rates to put more money into China, inflows that could undermine some of the restrictive effects of higher interest rates.

"We believe currency appreciation remains a viable, and the most optimal, policy tool for China to cure its inflation problems without generating a hard landing for the overall economy," Goldman Sachs economist Hong Liang wrote in a recent report.

Write to Andrew Batson at andrew.batson@wsj.com and Jason Leow at jason.leow@wsj.com



Add this page to your favorite Social Bookmarking websites
Reddit! Del.icio.us! Mixx! Free and Open Source Software News Google! Live! Facebook! StumbleUpon! Yahoo! Joomla Free PHP
Last Updated ( Thursday, 06 March 2008 )
 
< Prev   Next >

China

2.jpg

Events Calendar

<<  July 2010  >>
 Mo  Tu  We  Th  Fr  Sa  Su 
   1  2  3  4
  5  6  7  8  91011
12131415161718
19202122232425
262728293031 

NewsLetter

GSACCC NewsLetter

newsletter.gif


Partner

large_itc_logo.jpg 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sponsor

160px-confucious_institute.pnginxpress_logo.jpgdhl_logo.gif